In Russia's Perceived War with the West, Arms Control Becomes Collateral Damage

Three years into Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Russia seeks to detach itself from arms control agreements it views as part of the Western-dominated political and security order.

In Russia's Perceived War with the West, Arms Control Becomes Collateral Damage

 This shift is especially evident as the New START treaty, which limits nuclear arsenals, nears its expiration in 2026.

Russia's relationship with the West has deteriorated sharply since the invasion, marked by escalating nuclear threats and the dismantling of arms control agreements. 

Moscow's rejection of arms control talks, such as suspending participation in New START, signals its broader strategy of undermining Western influence.

The Kremlin's rejection of strategic arms control talks highlights its intention to frame arms control as part of the conflict with the West. 

Moscow demands security guarantees in exchange for returning to compliance with treaties, making arms control negotiations a tool to leverage Western involvement in Ukraine.

While Russia has suspended its participation in key treaties, including the CFE Treaty, it continues to adhere to certain arms control limits. 

This partial compliance shows Moscow's interest in controlling strategic nuclear weapons, though it remains wary of engaging in further arms control due to the ongoing conflict.

Despite Russia's current disinterest in arms control, economic constraints and future geopolitical dynamics, such as pressure from China and India, could motivate Russia to reconsider its stance. A change in leadership or a shift in global relations may also revive arms control talks with the West.